Friday, February 5, 2010

Super Bowl Trends to Watch For

The eerie thing about Super Bowls is that they are kind of predictable ... once you read the signs. When certain things happen in a game, it usually foretells what the outcome will be.

First off, a team scoring at least 30 points is 21-1. That is quite interesting since we will be watching a Super Bowl with two high-octane offenses.

The team leading after the first quarter is 22-10 (11 Super Bowls were tied after one).

The team that is leading at halftime is 33-8 (two Super Bowls were tied at the half).

The team that is leading heading into the fourth quarter is 36-6 (only one Super Bowl was tied after three quarters).

What all that means is that there is rarely a comeback victory in the Super Bowl. The largest deficit a team has come back and won from was just 10 points (Redskins over Broncos). Remember that game featured a 35-point explosion fron Washington. It just doesn't happen.

If fact, 39 Super Bowls have featured one of the teams holding at least a 10-point lead. That's 39 out of 43. Amazing that only four Super Bowls have stayed tight the whole way through. Since I told you that only one team has come back from a double-digit deficit, that means 38 times a team opened up that kind of lead and went on to win the game.

And here is another one: No team that has lost to Tampa Bay has gone on to win a Super Bowl. No one.

The Saints lost to the Buccaneers in Week 16.

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