Saturday, January 18, 2025

Division Round Predictions


In the Wildcard Round, I went 4-2 ... incorrectly picking the Chargers and Buccaneers to win. There's four more games this weekend and a chance for four more wins for me. So here's how I see it:

TEXANS AT CHIEFS:
I'm not the "you can't pick against Patrick Mahomes" guy because not every GOAT wins every game. Still, with the offensive injury issues that the Texans have right now -- mainly to Joe Mixon -- I just don't think Houston has enough. If they bring the defensive pressure they did against Justin Herbert then they have a chance to stay in the game. But no Mixon means it will be tough to keep the ball out of Mahomes hands. Give me the Chiefs.

COMMANDERS AT LIONS: Washington is several steps ahead of their plan, but their season ends here (full disclosure: I'm a Commanders fan and hope I am wrong). The Commanders have done well to mask their weakness this season on defense, but I don't think they can slow down this Lions team that has been stewing over their playoff loss to the 49ers in last year's NFC title game. Too much Detroit.

RAMS AT EAGLES: This is the trendy upset pick. I just think the Eagles defense can dent the Rams offensive attack and there's enough Saquon Barkley to keep LA at bay. Philly is a tough place to play and the Rams organization is going through a lot. Jalen Hurts makes just enough plays to set up the Lions-Eagles NFC championship game we've been waiting for.

RAVENS AT BILLS: There's a lot of hype about this game ... and maybe it's unwarranted. These two, plus the Chiefs, have been the class of the AFC this season and these two QBs have been the best players in the league. But it's going to come down to James Cook vs Derrick Henry. Cook has been fantastic over the last 15 months, but I think Henry came to Baltimore for this. Winning these kinds of games. This should be a fantastic game, but I have Baltimore winning. 

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