Some Points To Remember During This Hubert Davis-UNC Saga

While discussions are ongoing at North Carolina about the future of the program and the status of head coach Hubert Davis, here are a few points people may want to consider during this time and going forward.

I'm not going to litigate whether he should be hired or fired here. Everyone has their opinion on that and I've given mine already. Just some of the things surrounding this move that isn't just a typical hiring and firing of a head coach.

*THE FAMILY ASPECT: Obviously one of the charms of the Tar Heels basketball program is the fact that the family atmosphere is a real thing. Dean Smith was an assistant for Frank McGuire when he took the job in 1961. He handed it over to his assistant, Bill Guthridge, in 1997. Guthridge retired, and former player Matt Doherty got the job in 2000. Doherty "resigned" in 2003, and former assistant and UNC alum Roy Williams left Kansas for the job. Williams retired in 2021 and the job was given to his assistant and former player Hubert Davis. 

So since 1961, the job has been awarded to someone with ties to the program. If Davis is "removed" from his job as is the expectation, it is extremely doubtful someone with ties to the program will be the next head coach. 

To many, this is a shock to the system ... especially since Davis has constructed his program where darn near everyone is a UNC alum. All of his assistant coaches played at North Carolina. All of their wives attended North Carolina. The GM and many people attached to the basketball team went to the school.

But let's not pretend that is completely normal. Smith was willing to hire outside guys for his assistants, including bringing in Guthridge from Kansas State in 1967. When Doherty took over in 2001, he brought his own assistants who weren't UNC guys. Roy Williams brought over his Kansas staff who had no ties to North Carolina.

Sure, all of the head coaches were Carolina guys in some form, but it is acceptable to look elsewhere for someone to build this program back to a perennial championship contender. That person will, by nature, be able to merge his culture with the Carolina culture and create something great. Ex-players want the program to be successful and will be willing to embrace someone who embraces them. 

The 66 years of the "Dean Smith" era may end with who is the guy running the show on the bench, but his influence will still be a massive and valuable asset to whomever gets the job. 

*CELEBRATING HUBERT DAVIS: Pretty much everyone loves Hubert Davis the man and absolutely hates that we have come to this point. As disappointed as I am about where the program is right now, I still feel bad that Davis is having to go though all of this. Yet, that's the nature of the job you sign up for and Davis (who played in the NBA for several teams) is fully aware of. 

No one who cares about the program likes this. So how this is done is very tricky and needs to be done in as compassionate a way as possible. That's why Davis has not been fired and likely won't be fired ... even though we all know he's getting fired. Remember, Doherty wasn't fired either. Who knows exactly how it will end up looking like, but it won't be a clean break.

We also need to understand that while Davis may not be the right coach at North Carolina to uphold the standard this program demands, he isn't a bad coach who did nothing during his five years as head coach. We will aways remember that run in 2022 where Davis' Heels went into Cameron Indoor Stadium and beat Duke on Mike Krzyzewski Night in front of 100 of his former players. We will also remember the Final Four win over Duke that ended Coach K's career and gave Carolina a massive card to play in rivalry smack. 

Davis' teams never cratered like Doherty's teams did in 2001-2002 or even that horrendous Roy Williams season of 2019-2020. He had good seasons ... even if it most weren't great. And while the reasons for moving on from him are valid and up for discussion, there were some really good times over the last five years as well. Hopefully that will be celebrated forever. 

*THE BELICHICK SITUATION: This may not be the best point to make right now, but the university went all in on Bill Belichick a year ago. Whether or not it is working or not isn't the point of this ... but what is will be the financial aspects of this hiring. The boosters and the school has promised to upgrade the resources not only to hire Belichick but to put the program how he wants it to be. That means financial promises have been made, and as we saw in Year 1, this may not be a long term agreement that works out well for the school. 

The point is that if Belichick is the coach, he and his staff are being paid a lot to be there and the money needed to fund the program will be there. If he isn't the coach, there is a hefty buyout that will go with that, along with being able to pay for a new coach that can make the program better while not breaking the bank. 

So as these discussions about Hubert Davis are ongoing, money is a factor. Both in buying out Davis' contract, but also hiring the big name coach you want to come and likely paying for that coach's buyout at his former school. That's a big ask for boosters and the financial powers around the school to do simultaneously. It may not stop Davis from being removed or a big name coach to be hired, but it is stretching the wallet, so to speak. 

*A NEW ATHLETIC DIRECTOR: Remember that North Carolina will be transitioning athletic directors very soon, as Bubba Cunningham is taking on a new role while Steve Newmark will be the new AD this summer. So it makes sense that the new guy will have major input on the men's basketball job and its future.

*RIPPING THE BAND AID OFF: This may be the first of a few hard choices that the powers that be at North Carolina will have to make that will bring a shock to the fanbase's system. Yet it may be the perfect way to begin the future of the Tar Heels' athletics programs in the way that benefits everyone ... with the damage coming to nostalgia and history.

What I am about to say I don't take lightly. I was someone who wanted the nostalgia to continue and want the ways I remember Carolina basketball and the ACC were in the 1980s, 1990s and into the current century to continue forever. But over the last few years I have accepted that change is probably the right thing, and hiring a coach from outside the Carolina family will be the start that may allow these other changes to land a tad bit easier. 

Two major things hovering over the program are coming to a head. The most obvious one is the future of the arena. The Dean Smith Center is a cathedral, but it is outdated and is leaving UNC behind when it comes to revenue. Like it or not, it is a reality in college basketball today and having a 40-year old building that lacks the amenities that modern arenas have really hiders the potential of this program. 

I haven't picked a side on this debate yet, because I do understand every side of it. But I feel that the administration wanted to build a state-of-the-art arena off campus and was set to do so until the blowback from the community and former players was so great. Now there is a delicate situation occurring about trying to figure out what the program wants and needs that satisfies the most people possible. Still, making a move like this with a new basketball coach could be the "tearing off the band-aid" that shows the community that change can be good. 

The other decision coming down the road will be North Carolina's membership in the ACC. I don't think the timing of anything the athletic department has done or is doing is by accident. A new arena, trying to build a football program, and setting up the flagship sport at the school with the best coach possible is the shiny suit UNC wants to be wearing when the broadcast rights for many conferences are up for grabs in the next decade. North Carolina has been very political with its stance on its status as a member of the ACC while schools like Florida State and Clemson have been much, much louder. Make no mistake -- North Carolina is eying the landscape and is preparing itself for a move to the SEC or Big Ten when the next wave a realignment comes up in the 2030s. Remember that UNC was one of the schools who voted against having Stanford, Cal and SMU join the league a couple of years ago. They will be willing to jump to a new league and for all its riches when the Grant of Rights price falls sharply and the Tar Heels will be attractive free agents of sorts. 

This isn't a wild take. This will be a thing.

Sportz' NCAA Tournament Recap - Second Round, Day 2

Just a quick recap of what I saw in my Sportz Room -- filled with TVs that I can watch all games going on at the same time.

GAME OF THE DAY: Iowa vs Florida What a game and what an ending led to what a shocker. Florida was the buzz team entering the tournament, attempting to win consecutive national championships, but was felled by a Hawkeyes team who is hitting on all cylinders offensively and defensively. The game had some controversy, as a disputed "punch" that didn't happen allowed Alvaro Folgueiras to hit the game winning three with second remaining. 

UPSET OF THE DAY: Iowa vs Florida.  With not many upsets happening in this round, the Hawkeyes ousting the Gators was a shocker to the system and the first real major upset in this tournament. 

CONFERENCE OF THE DAY: BIG TEN. A day after going 4-0 in the tournament, the Big Ten won both their games on Sunday to put six teams in the Sweet 16. Not only did Purdue hold off Miami to advance, but Iowa pulled off a major upset, toppling the first No. 1 seed.

CONFERENCE WITH A BAD DAY: ACC. The ACC lost both their games on Sunday, making Duke their lone representative in the Sweet 16. One of the losses was a seed upset, as No. 3 Virginia lost to Tennessee in a game the Cavaliers spent most of the game playing from behind.

DUD OF THE DAY: Tennessee vs Miami-OH. After Miami-OH's outstanding performance over SMU in the First Four, everyone was waiting to see what this team could do against a really good Tennessee team. Well, it didn't go very well. The Redhawks were overmatched early and this was never a game. The Volunteers understood to not take Miami-OH lightly, and they overwhelmed the Redhawks.

DOMINANT PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY: Alabama vs Texas Tech. When filling out my bracket, this was a tough one to pick. Both teams would be missing one of their best players and each has shown the ability to have high ceiling and low floors. Well, we saw the Crimson Tide's ceiling at the same time we saw the Red Raiders' floor. The Tide hit 19 of 42 (!!!) threes while the Raiders missed 21 of their 25 shots from behind the arc.

UNDERLYING STORYLINE OF THE DAY: Flavorful Sweet 16. Much has been made about the lack of Cinderellas, blowouts and power conferences dominating this tournament ... but what that does is give us a really compelling week of basketball. The Sweet 16 gives us Duke-St. John's, UConn-Michigan State, Houston-Illinois, Arizona-Arkansas, Michigan-Alabama, Purdue-Texas, Iowa State-Tennessee and Nebraska-Iowa. That includes the conference tournament champions of the ACC, Big East, SEC, Big Ten and Big 12 ... all of the power five conferences. You have these coaches: Rick Pitino, Danny Hurley, Tom Izzo, John Calipari, Kelvin Sampson, Jon Scheyer, Brad Underwood, Dusty May, Nate Oates, Matt Painter, Rick Barnes, Sean Miller, T.J. Otzelberger, Tommy Lloyd, Ben McCollum and Fred Hoiberg. Wow! Of those coaches, 10 of them have reached a Final Four and four of them have won national championships. 

Sportz' NCAA Tournament Recap - Second Round, Day 1

Just a quick recap of what I saw in my Sportz Room -- filled with TVs that I can watch all games going on at the same time.

GAME OF THE DAY: Nebraska vs Vanderbilt. To have these two programs play with a Sweet 16 berth on the line was great for the NCAA tournament. While much has been made about the lack of Cinderellas (read: mid-major representation) it is nice to see programs who aren't seen as powers who reside in power conferences play for something important. This game lived up to what a 4-5 matchup should be. Back and forth with big shots and the biggest rolling around the rim and falling out. Nebraska had never won a tournament game when the week started and now they're in the Sweet 16. 

UPSET OF THE DAY: Texas vs Gonzaga.  Texas is the latest First Four team to win three games and reach the Sweet 16. Gonzaga had a great season, entering the game 31-3, but was overwhelmed by a Longhorns team that is streaking at the right time. Graham Ike dropped 25 points for the Zags but the rest of the team had an off day and wilted late in the game. Texas moves on. 

CONFERENCE OF THE DAY: BIG TEN. The Big Ten won half of the games played on Saturday, going 4-0 and instantly becoming a quarter of the Sweet 16. Michigan and Illinois dominated, while Michigan State controlled their game against Louisville. With Nebraska's win, the Big Ten had one of the best second round days in quite some time. With Purdue and Iowa playing on Sunday, the league has a chance to put six teams in the next round.

CONFERENCE WITH A BAD DAY: Atlantic 10. VCU and Saint Louis pulled off epic upsets on Thursday night, with the Rams making a massive comeback to beat North Carolina while the Billikens absolutely spanked Georgia. Neither team was in their second round games, as VCU didn't have any juice left for Illinois and Michigan flexing all over Saint Louis. The A-10 is a really good lead and among the top mid-major conferences, but sees their season end today.

DUD OF THE DAY: Michigan vs Saint Louis. I don't think anyone believed Michigan would go down in this game, but after Thursday's showing we all wanted to see that high scoring Billikens team show up once again. It didn't. Robbie Avila ... the man with 1,000 nicknames ... had a bad afternoon, scoring just 9 points on 3-of-13 shooting.

DOMINANT PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY: Houston vs Texas A&M. Texas A&M isn't in Houston's class, but no one expected the Aggies to get absolutely pummeled in this game. The Cougars jumped on A&M early and never let up, making this a snoozer fairly quickly.

UNDERLYING STORYLINE OF THE DAY: Big Ten's performance. The Big Ten has earned a reputation for not truly showing up in the NCAA tournament. They haven't won this even since Michigan State cut down the nets in 2000 ... though they've been runner up several times since. Now, reaching the Sweet 16 isn't winning a title just yet, but the way the league's teams have performed so far in this tournament, they do look like they have a few candidates to do some damage over the next two weekends. 

Sportz' NCAA Tournament Recap - First Round, Day 2

Just a quick recap of what I saw in my Sportz Room -- filled with TVs that I can watch all games going on at the same time.

GAME OF THE DAY: Kentucky vs Santa Clara. The ending of this game was insane. Big shots from both sides, including a 50-footer by Kentucky to tie the game and send it into overtime. These are the kinds of games you love to watch if you have no rooting interest in either team. Otega Oweh's shot will likely be the best play of this entire tournament. 

UPSET OF THE DAY: Utah State vs Villanova.  There were no upsets really today. All the betting favorites won, even though two of them were No. 9 seeds. But to see Utah State come back and beat Villanova -- a Big East team -- seems like the most obvious "upset". 

CONFERENCE OF THE DAY: BIG 12. The Big 12 went 4-0 on the day, with Arizona, Kansas, Texas Tech and Iowa State all winning their games ... with only Kansas having any trouble disposing their opponent. The Big Ten went 3-0 while the SEC went 4-1.

CONFERENCE WITH A BAD DAY: MAC. Both Miami-OH and Akron lost their games on Friday, ending the magical season for both the league's regular season and tournament champions. The difficult part is both were blown out (though Akron put up more of a fight). Mid-majors in general had an awful day, but the MAC went out with a whimper.

DUD OF THE DAY: Tennessee vs Miami-OH. After Miami-OH's outstanding performance over SMU in the First Four, everyone was waiting to see what this team could do against a really good Tennessee team. Well, it didn't go very well. The Redhawks were overmatched early and this was never a game. The Volunteers understood to not take Miami-OH lightly, and they overwhelmed the Redhawks.

DOMINANT PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY: Florida vs Prairie View. There were a few blowouts on Friday, but none like what Florida did to Prairie View A&M. The Gators chomped their way to a 114-55 victory ... one of the largest margins of victory in the history of the NCAA tournament. Florida looks ready to defend its title and has a chip on their shoulder after losing to Vanderbilt in the SEC tournament.

UNDERLYING STORYLINE OF THE DAY: Favorites dominate the day. Yesterday I remarked that it is interesting to follow the narrative that NIL and the transfer portal has been bad for the Cinderella role in the NCAA tournament. Well, Friday certainly held that line of thinking. The betting favorite went 16-0 on Day 2 of the tournament, with no double-digit seeds winning. Sure, all four of the No. 9 seeds won their games, but those are hardly any upsets. Of the four double-digit seeds to win over the last two days, two of them (Texas, Texas A&M) are SEC schools, VCU and High Point.  All four play on Saturday. 

Sportz' NCAA Tournament Recap - First Round, Day 1

Just a quick recap of what I saw in my Sportz Room -- filled with TVs that I can watch all games going on at the same time.

GAME OF THE DAY: VCU vs North Carolina. The Tar Heels went up 19 points and seemed to be cruising into the second round of the tournament. Then the final 8 minutes of regulation happened that was as head-scratching as you could get from a program like this. Turnovers, bad defense, and curious decisions allowed VCU to mount a massive comeback that sets the record for the Round of 64. VCU's rabid comeback and the weird plays that followed into overtime set the stage for a chaotic tournament. 

UPSET OF THE DAY: High Point vs Wisconsin.  Wisconsin was pretty hot coming into the tournament, so getting bounced by High Point was pretty shocking. The Badgers were the highest seed to lose today, busting several brackets. The sight of High Point's Chase Johnston breaking out for his first two point basket ... of the season ... to win the game for the Panthers was one of the best of this tournament thus far. 

CONFERENCE OF THE DAY: SEC. The Big Ten had a lot of winners, but it was the SEC's day. Arkansas blew out Hawaii, Texas upset BYU and Texas A&M upset Saint Mary's. Georgia did look absolutely awful against Saint Louis, but the two bid upsets showed the depth of this league.

CONFERENCE WITH A BAD DAY: ACC. The losses were spread around quite a bit -- with the Big Ten losing twice -- but the ACC had a rough one. Only North Carolina lost, but they blew a 19 point lead in doing so. Duke was on the ropes against Siena while Louisville nearly blew a huge lead against South Florida. Add in NC State and SMU losing in the First Four and the ACC hasn't had the great start to this tournament.

DUD OF THE DAY: Nebraska vs Troy. I need to mention Nebraska winning its first NCAA tournament game. I felt that Troy was going to give the Huskers a game today, with the pressure of finally winning a tournament game (the lone power school not to) possible making Nebraska tight for this one. That wasn't the case, as the Cornhuskers let it rip all game and punished the Trojans, 76-47.

DOMINANT PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY: Saint Louis vs Georgia. I came into the week feeling this would be a fun matchup in the 8-9 game, but it never was that. The Billikens jumped all over the Dawgs and made this a laugher right off the jump. Saint Louis is a dangerous team for Michigan on Saturday.

UNDERLYING STORYLINE OF THE DAY: Blowouts. There is a narrative that the NCAA tournament has changed due to the transfer portal taking the best players from the mid-majors and hoarding them for themselves, so I've been interested to see if that manifests this tournament. We saw a lot of blowouts on Thursday. Seven of the 16 games played were decided by 19 or more points. Five games were decided by at least 25 points. Two were 30 point blowouts. That mirrors last year's output on Day 1. 

It's Time For The Hubert Davis Era to End In Chapel Hill

 

Hubert Davis is the kind of person you want to lead your basketball program. He's the nicest guy who loves the North Carolina program the same way that Roy Williams did. He cares so much about the Carolina Family that all his coaches are alums. As a player, he wasn't a big time recruit yet built himself into a great scorer and eventually a first round NBA draft pick. He's a great representative of North Carolina basketball.

Too bad he doesn't coach like that.

The Tar Heels lost to VCU in the first round of the NCAA tournament tonight, 82-78, in overtime. Typically one game shouldn't determine your job, but there may be no game that encapsulates the Hubert Davis era than this one. A blown lead marred by late game mistakes, missed free throws and a determination to run his players into the ground. 

Again, this isn't just about one game. Since Davis took over in the 2021-2022 season, North Carolina has entered the NCAA tournament like this:

2022: 8 seed
2023: missed the tournament
2024: 1 seed
2025: 11 seed
2026: 6 seed

Add in the final two seasons of the Roy Williams era (would've missed the NCAA tournament in 2020 if COVID didn't cancel it; 8 seed that was blown out in 2021) and this has been a horrible stretch of Carolina basketball. Amazing, since the 2016-2019 stretch featured two national championship game appearances -- including the 2017 national title -- a 2 seed and a 1 seed. It hasn't looked like that since. 

Carolina has lost 3 of their last 4 NCAA tournament games, with the lone win coming over San Diego State in the First Four last season. Before COVID, the Tar Heels were 31-1 in first round games (the Round of 64). Since, they are 2-3 ... with two of those losses coming in the last two years. This is the first time EVER that Carolina lost its final regular season game, only ACC tournament game, and only NCAA tournament game. A horrible 0-3 stretch that featured losses to Duke, Clemson and VCU that all featured massive runs from their opponents that ultimately sunk the Heels.   come

North Carolina now owns one of the largest comeback losses in NCAA tournament history and the largest in program history. They also own the largest comeback loss in NCAA championship history when they gave up a 16-point lead to Kansas to choke away the 2022 title. 

This isn't the standard at North Carolina. If Hubert Davis was virtually anyone else, he'd be fired right now. It was unacceptable with Matt Doherty was in Chapel Hill and its unacceptable now. 

Sure, all-everything Caleb Wilson's injury crushed UNC's hopes on the season. He was an electric player that, honestly, may be Carolina's best NBA player since Vince Carter and Antawn Jamison entered the league in 1998. But the Heels were up on VCU by 19 points in this game and reverted to the same flaws that have plagued the Davis era. There were boneheaded turnovers ... including a unfathomable five-second call at the end of the game. Missed free throws. An opponent getting loose for a career day (something so frustrating about Davis). And an unwillingness to substitute and get his guys some rest. All of that spilled all over the floor in Greenville for the world to see what Carolina fans have watched for five years. 

The Tar Heels have struggled all season with these issues ... issues that have plagued the Heels for years. UNC has choked away big leads, even if they ultimately won the game. It's been a running joke that someone on every opponent turns in a career day against the Heels. But it was the meltdown at the end of the VCU game that really hit home. Not being able to hang onto the ball, missing easy shots, a five second inbounds penalty, not knowing how to miss a free throw properly, and abandoning the principles that got you the 19-point lead to begin with. When you get to March, those kinds of mistakes should not happen yet they were amplified tonight. When it comes to March, a coach should not have to resort to not substituting because he doesn't trust the team he built. 

I'm not one of those guys that have barked for Davis' job. I've tried to lean in on the "he's learning on the job and will get this" thinking for a few years now. Maybe the legendary run of the 2022 season had me blind. Beating Duke on Coach K night in Cameron and then ending Mike Krzyzewski's career at the Final Four in New Orleans will be one of the greatest feats any Carolina coach achieved. But nothing has looked anything close to that since. I've had moments where I have began to move off that stance (most notably the west coast swing earlier this season), but I've now arrived at this feeling. No matter what kind of roster Davis assembles this offseason, I just don't trust that he will be able to maximize it anymore. I saw him sink a preseason No. 1 team in 2022-2023 and waste away the the 2024-2025 season. I saw him bring in high profile transfers that didn't pan out (Cade Tyson, anyone?). 

How can you trust Hubert Davis? I lived my life believing Dean Smith was the smartest coach on the floor and that Roy Williams knew his team better than any coach out there. I don't feel that way about Davis. And there are some rumbling from former players that they may not trust him either. Not enough to put Carolina back where it is supposed to be. 

This all comes at a pivotal time for Carolina basketball. A new athletic director takes over very soon. There are heated discussions about what to do with the Dean E. Smith Center -- should it be replaced, renovated or even a new arena off campus. We are just a few years from conference explosions once again as the television contracts will ramp up at the start of the next decade. Will the ACC be able to survive or will North Carolina need to jump to the Big Ten or SEC? Meanwhile, the school down the street has been able to keep their standard of excellence with their former (and young) player who keeps churning out No. 1 seeds and top players. 

Carolina isn't holding up to the standard.

Like the arena and the ACC, there may have to be some hard decisions about separating from the past if there is going to be a fruitful future. There is no Roy Williams sitting out there. Unlike when Dean Smith retired in 1997 (or Bill Guthridge retired in 2000 or Doherty's firing in 2002), there isn't a Carolina Family candidate ready to roll to keep this going. All of Dean's guys at that time (George Karl, Larry Brown, Doug Moe) aren't viable for various reasons and Roy Williams didn't exactly leave behind a coaching tree to pluck from. Hubert Davis was it, and that is seemingly failing. The only other option, Wes Miller, showed he wasn't ready for a big job after being fired from Cincinnati. 

North Carolina may need to go outside the family to find the coach who can lead it into the future and hold the standard of the past. 

When Roy retired in 2021, I was really hoping Gonzaga's Mark Few would take the job. Few is good friends with Roy, a wildly successful coach in a college basketball outpost that could have continued Carolina's winning ways. That is unlikely now, given Few's age and unlikeliness to leave the Zags as they enter the Pac-12. Could UNC lure Al Golden away from Florida? Would Alabama's Nate Oates be an option? How about Iowa State's T.J. Otzelberger? Or one of the up-and-coming coaches who UNC could build a long future with. 

Despite saying all of this, I'm doubtful any change will come. Davis is a Carolina guy who is likeable and there are just enough good moments to point to (and a Caleb Wilson injury to use as an excuse) to validate another year of this. But as Carolina fans all over the country have shouted out tonight, most aren't excited about another year of substandard basketball. No one will go into the 2026-2027 season expecting anything different.

And that's a shame. 

Bruce Pearl Wasn't Totally Wrong About Miami-OH

There has been a lot of debate this week about Bruce Pearl's take about Miami-OH's basketball team. Here is what he said on air for TNT: 

“Miami (Ohio), here’s the deal. Are we selecting the 68 most deserving teams? Or are we going to select the 68 best teams? If we’re selecting the 68 best teams, then Miami (Ohio) is going to have to win their tournament to qualify as a champion. Because as an at-large, they are not one of the best teams in the country. And that’s going to be a difficult choice for the committee to make.”

Let me lay a couple of quick context keys for a moment. First, this was when Miami-OH was 29-0. They are now 30-0 with one game left in their regular season and will be heading to the MAC tournament. Two, Pearl's son is the head coach at Auburn -- his former job and a team who is sitting squarely on the bubble. Three, I'm not a big Bruce Pearl guy, but I am defending his stance on this point.

I will also say that Pearl's comment was structured poorly. His point that Miami-OH being one of the 68 teams in order to get in is incorrect, and people need to get over that part of his comment. He knows the NCAA tournament does not invite the best 68 teams and he wasn't stomping for that. He pretty much says as much as his take goes on.

What he is saying is that Miami-OH needs to win the MAC tournament to ensure their spot in the NCAA tournament. If they lose in the MAC tournament, they may not get in as an at-large team. 

I don't think that's a wrong take.

Having said that, I don't think there is any way the NCAA tournament selection committee will keep a 1-loss Miami-OH team out of the dance. It just would look bad, even if they have the metrics to back up not including them. It would set off a firestorm that the narrative that middle of the pack power conference teams get to muck up the tournament at the expense of mid-majors is true. Putting a 16-14 Auburn team with a losing SEC record (or any 10th or 11th place power conference team) in ahead of a 31-1 MAC team would look really bad. I would rather see Miami-OH get in ahead of some middle of the road power league team. I really do.

Still, what Pearl said isn't off-based, and it certainly doesn't get the blowback that it has been getting.

Understand that if Miami-OH fails to win the MAC, they will need to receive an at-large bid to get into the dance. There are 31 automatic qualifiers (AQs) that come from conference tournament champions. That leaves 37 at-large bids. Miami-OH would have to be seen as one of the best 37 teams who didn't win their conference tournament. That isn't the slam dunk you think it is.

Let's look at what Miami-OH is right now:

-They are currently 53rd in NET rating. That is a big data point used by the committee. That ranking is  between Seton Hall and Belmont. Seton Hall is barely in the bubble conversation while Belmont won't get in unless they win the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. Auburn, by the way, is 39th in NET. 

-The only way they won't win a MAC championship is if they ... tah-dah ... lose in the MAC tournament. A loss would mean they lost, and that would knock them down in the NET rating. 

-Again, the NET isn't everything as there are teams on the bubble with a worse rating than the Redhawks. 

-Miami-OH is 0-0 in Quad 1 games. They are 1-0 in Quad 2 games. 

-Miami-OH is 89th in the KenPom rankings. Their strength of schedule is 284th. 

-The MAC hasn't had multiple bids in the NCAA tournament since 1999. Miami-OH was one of those teams. 

-Miami-OH could lose to Ohio on Friday and lose in the MAC tournament, giving them two losses. 

Look, I'm on the side of the little guy having their SOS dragged down because of the league they are in ... but their non-conference schedule was bad, too. You can say that no one will schedule them, but you couldn't find any power conference schools at all? And you had to settle for Milligan, Trinity (IL), Mercyhurst and IU East? 

That's what Miami-OH brings to the table -- a flawless record built off a statistically bad schedule. And that is their resume when deciding who the best ... and the key word in Pearl's comments was "best" ... 37 teams among the non-AQs. 

So let's do an exercise of what Miami-OH would be going up against. 

*Let's knock out all of the AQs right now. There are 31 of them, including 26 mid-major champions. Let's establish that Duke wins the ACC, Michigan wins the Big Ten, Arizona wins the Big 12, Florida wins the SEC and UConn wins the Big East. Also, Miami-OH does not win the MAC ... or else this practice is moot.

*Let's go ahead and assume these schools get at-large bids with basically zero debate: Houston, Iowa State, Kansas, Texas Tech, BYU, Illinois, Purdue, Michigan State, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Alabama, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, Georgia, Virginia, North Carolina, Louisville, St. John's and Villanova. That means 21 schools are locked in. We will also put both Gonzaga and Saint Mary's in ... with one winning the WCC and the other as the at-large. That's 22 at-larges taken. 

*Here are a few that aren't locks, but close to it: NC State, Missouri, Clemson, Miami- FL, Iowa and UCF. That means 28 at-large spots are taken. 

*That puts 9 spots for everyone else. That's where Miami-OH lives. They live with Ohio State, Texas, Texas A&M, UCLA, SMU, New Mexico, Santa Clara, Indiana, TCU, Auburn, San Diego State, Virginia Tech, VCU, Cincinnati, USC and California. It is conceivable that Miami-OH may not be one of the 9 "best" teams in this mix. That 9 could get smaller if we see some bid stealers in one of the power conferences, the WCC or the Mountain West. 

Again, I think Miami-OH gets in ... but what Pearl is saying isn't wrong. Joe Lunardi's latest Bracketology has Miami-OH as an 11-seed right now ... and that's assuming them winning the MAC title. That puts them in a very vulnerable position if they don't win their conference tournament. Which is what Pearl is saying. By the way, Lunardi also has Ohio State, Texas, Texas A&M, UCLA, and SMU as better seeds right now.